Newsletter Issue #8 August 2021

Editorial

A very WARM welcome
to all, with HOT news
in our SUMMER issue!

This 8th BEACON newsletter presents the Blockchain component and Smart Contracts function and the first of BEACON Business cases. Read our Reflections on the design principles of Agricultural Risk Management Policies and don’t miss out on BEACON’s corner where Ifigeneia Tsioutsia from AgroApps is presenting the progress of the BEACON Toolbox. Discover interesting Upcoming Events and the latest news on the agri-insurance industry In case you missed them.

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Reflections on the Design Principles of Agricultural Risk Management Policies

Government support for agricultural risk management tools has been substantially growing over the past twenty years, resulting in a wide diversity of risk management products. Risk management programmes can support resilient agriculture by safeguarding that producers can manage the financial impacts resulting from adverse events and by creating incentives for farmers to invest in risk reducing measures.

Risk management tools effectiveness is depended on programme design. Governmental support on Risk Management Policies differs amongst countries. Some largely focus on ex ante mitigation measures (i.e. R&D), whilst others provide large levels of support through agricultural insurance, disaster assistance, income stabilisation schemes and producer tax savings accounts. Evidence indicates that due to politics ending the provision of ad hoc assistance through subsidised insurance programmes is not possible, even in cases where insurance risk programmes are well-established. Additionally, several risk management programmes are lacking transparency on basic data and comprehensive evaluation of impacts.

According to the conclusions drawn in one of OECD recent publications (DESIGN PRINCIPLES FOR AGRICULTURAL RISK MANAGEMENT POLICIES, May 2021) agricultural risk management tools should adopt a holistic approach to ensure their complementarity, to avoid overcompensation, and to reduce adverse selection and moral hazard behaviour. Agricultural Risk Management Policies need to reflect both the interaction between different risk management tools and the wider environment that affects incentives and producer decision-making.

Tax and savings measures may be effective tools for producers relative to smoothing their income variability but cannot on their own mitigate the impacts of catastrophic events. At the same time Matched savings accounts do not address the needs of farm risk management, as by design they couple high subsidy rates in the form of matching funds and low limits in the total balance. Regarding income stabilisation schemes impacts and experience is limited as few countries have implemented them.

Government support focus needs to be turned into addressing market failures, as heavily subsidised market instruments can sideline private innovation. Nowadays the development of remote sensing technologies, improved weather data and widespread availability of CTI technologies can effectively support commercially offered crop insurance. Nonetheless, private insurance products cannot be competitive when facing heavily subsidised government products. The focus of government programmes should be on exploring potential opportunities and creating incentives for technological innovation to reduce the costs of risk management tools. Additionally, government subsidies should be limited to covering administrative costs or catastrophic risks.

Farmers' participation in risk management programmes can be enhanced by studying and pinpointing the root causes of lack of participation, instead of resorting to subsidies to encourage participation. Moreover, the attractiveness of risk management tools is often reduced by the wider policy environment. The regrettable lesson learned is that once subsidies are introduced for risk management products, they are difficult to be removed from agricultural policies and programmes.

The lack of transparency on basic data of risk management programmes is a common feature that surrounds these programmes. Data reported by countries to OECD and WTO involve mainly outlay data, whilst little is known about farmers’ participation and performance data across farms, crops and livestock. There is thus a need to improve data accessibility that can enhance the programmes’ monitoring and evaluation and provide information and experience which can ultimately lead to the design of better instruments.

SOURCE: OECD library

The BEACON Blockchain component and Smart Contracts function

BEACON builds on the use of EO data and Weather Intelligence services components and couples them with ICT and blockchain technology facilitating as such the full exploitation of the BEACON solution and delivering the required services (Crop monitoring, Damage Assessment Calculator, Anti-Fraud Inspector, Weather Risk Probability, Damage Prevention/ Prognosis – Early Warning System).

Following modifications and adaptations of the BEACON’s toolbox alpha version, a second version has been developed, which is being used through the pilot implementation phase, as well as for the integration with the blockchain.

The blockchain alpha version integration in the BEACON toolbox has already been performed. Specifically, the technical team decided on the appropriate workflow of the blockchain, the means to implement smart contracts and how the method to integrate the blockchain component into the BEACON toolbox.  

Several meetings were organized among the technical team to define the API specifications that will allow the two systems to communicate. Therefore, the blockchain functionality of the BEACON toolbox was created based on the Generic Insurance Framework (GIF) and based on this the first prototype of the BEACON blockchain API was developed. An API client from the toolbox’s side was developed in order to communicate with the provided blockchain API (GIF application) and the required information of the smart contracts has been integrated into the BEACON toolbox.

1st Business Case- Agroseguro, Spain

BEACON products are led by the market requirements, involving the potential customers: insurers, re-insurers, underwriters and other relevant stakeholders in all phases from the design to development and validation. In this way, the full range of BEACON services will be tested, evaluated and tailored up to the specific needs of each entity through the introduction of 3 BEACON Business Cases.

The first BEACON Business Case was implemented in Spain in collaboration with Agrupación Española de Entidades Aseguradoras de los Seguros Agrarios Combinados S.A. Agroseguro, is a joint based intervention of public and private institutes to establish a technical and financially viable coverage that would enable the agricultural sector to deal with the serious damage caused in the productions by uncontrollable risks and catastrophic consequences. Agroseguro is a pioneer in the use of EO-based NDVI agricultural insurance products in Europe on behalf of the shareholding insurance companies, insuring productions such as crops, livestock, aquaculture and forestry.

The Spanish Use Case has been implemented in order to uncover the drought effects and validate the BEACON Damage Assessment Calculator component. Agroseguro provided crop damage cases which originated from the rural area of Ávila and Segovia. In this region, the predominant crops are rainfed barley and wheat, covering approximately 26% and 22% of the total cropped area respectively.

In BEACON, damage cases for the accuracy assessment of the Damage Assessment Calculator component were made available by Agroseguro. Samples included parcels of wheat and barley that suffered damage from drought, as well as non-damaged parcels.

These parcels were insured during the growing season of 2014-2015 to the growing season of 2019-2020. The severity of damage caused by drought ranged between 10% and 100%. The parcel size ranged between 1ha and 60ha. The total number of provided damaged parcels from drought is 162 and non-damaged parcels are 280.

In order to detect drought, monitor it in real time and assess crop loss, the BEACON Scientific Team fully exploited the MODIS Terra 8-day composited NDVI at 250 meters resolution. NDVI-Anomaly was calculated, by dividing the average NVDI for a particular 8-day period of a given year, by the multi-year mean NDVI of the specific 8-day interval. A positive NDVI Anomaly value denotes enhanced vegetation conditions compared to the average, and a negative value indicates comparatively poor vegetation conditions. Moreover, Machine Learning classifiers and regression models were evaluated for damage classification and yield prediction. The NDVI and NDVI-Anomaly produced throughout the growing season, together with damage percentage and final received wheat and barley yields were used as training data input in the Machine Learning Scheme.

The approach implemented in the operational workflow of BEACON estimates with great accuracy the final wheat and barley yield, regardless of whether there is a drought incident occurring on not.

Ifigeneia Tsioutsia presenting the progress of the BEACON Toolbox

Ifigeneia-Maria Tsioutsia
Technical Project Manager
AgroApps

Over the past three years, BEACON has intensively worked to validate and deliver a robust and cost-efficient toolbox /set of services, to support the operations of the Agriculture Insurance sector. To achieve this aim, BEACON intensively researched and worked on how to use and combine the different technologies and the various data as well as to validate their added value through a series of pilot implementations. Thus, a lot of effort has been put into the services development, calibration and validation in order to provide satisfactory results, through a set of automated and/ or semi-automated EO processing workflows and advanced crop growth simulation models. Furthermore, a fully operational blockchain integrated BEACON toolbox was delivered to the end-users.

All in all, BEACON toolbox includes:

  • An advanced EO component that enables the end-users to use a plethora of satellite constellations.
  • A Climatology component that offers advanced climatic analytics for any market/ area of interest.
  • The Weather Intelligence component that provides alerts for the extreme weather events that may occur in the following seven days, enabling the Agricultural Insurance providers to push notifications and predefined mitigation measures to their customers.
  • The Damage Assessment Calculator, which allows AgI companies to perform quick and remote early assessments of potential damages and crop losses, enabling fast indemnity payouts of claims.
  • The Smart Contracts, enabling semi-automatically pay out damages to insured parties and transparency among insurer and insured.

Conclusively, considering the introduction of new Remote Sensing methods, numeric weather prediction models and Smart contracts to the hands of the AgI sector is bringing an ocean of opportunities within reach in operational and performance levels.

Upcoming events

WCRP-WWRP SYMPOSIUM ON DATA ASSIMILATION AND REANALYSIS AND 2021 ECMWF ANNUAL SEMINAR ON OBSERVATIONS
  September 13-18, 2021
  Virtual
  Website

The overall objective of the World Climate Research Programme – World Weather Research Programme (WCRP-WWRP) Symposium on Data Assimilation and Reanalysis, led by Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) is to review latest developments and address issues of common interest to data assimilation and reanalysis communities, such as Earth system and coupled approaches, ensemble techniques and covariances, process studies, handling of systematic errors, diagnostics and verification, emerging AI and Machine learning techniques, open science and collaborative platforms. The Symposium will focus on an Earth system view of observations.

International Conference “Agricultural insurance, Reinsurance & Brokerage for CIS, Europe & Asia”
  October 4-6, 2021
  Biltmore Hotel Tbilisi, Georgia
  Website

The goal of the conference is to enhance the dialogue between the keyplayers in the agricultural insurance markets of Europe and Asia. Insurance, Reinsurance and Broker companies get the unique opportunity to discuss various issues related to developing markets. The Program will focus on the challenges and technical specifics of the introduction and upscaling of crop and livestock insurance programs. The conference will also include a Panel Discussion dedicated to the challenges that the agricultural insurance industry struggles with and possible ways to address those challenges with methods, solutions and technologies available.

26th UN CLIMATE CHANGE CONFERENCE UK 2021
  October 31 - November 12, 2021
  Glasgow, UK
  Website

The 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference, also known as COP26, is the 26th United Nations Climate Change conference. It is scheduled to be held in the city of Glasgow from 31 October to 12 November 2021 under the presidency of the United Kingdom. The COP26 summit will bring parties together to accelerate action towards the goals of the Paris Agreement and the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The UNFCCC is a treaty that sets out the basic responsibilities of the 196 Parties (States), plus the European Union, in taking climate action.

BLOCKCHANCE EUROPE 2021
  December 2-4, 2021
  Hamburg, Germany & Virtual
  Website

BLOCKCHANCE® is Germany’s leading blockchain conference The BLOCKCHANCE mission is to educate society about contemporary economic trends, social changes and chances brought to us by Blockchain and Distributed Ledger Technologies. The 3-day conference, with over 120 speakers and more than 50 exhibitors creates a networking, match-making and education platform for investors, entrepreneurs, politicians, IT experts, scientists, and the interested public. Key topics of the 2021 conference are Blockchain technology use cases, digital assets, sustainability, governance, traceability, data security, id management, token economy, digital banking, intelligent transport systems, robotics, AI and IoT.

ICARMCI 2021: International Conference on Agricultural Risk Management and Crop Insurance
  December 9-10, 2021
  Virtual
  Website

The International Conference on Agricultural Risk Management and Crop Insurance aims to bring together leading academic scientists, researchers, and research scholars to exchange and share their experiences and research results on all aspects of Agricultural Risk Management and Crop Insurance. It also provides a premier interdisciplinary platform for researchers, practitioners and educators to present and discuss the most recent innovations, trends, and concerns, as well as practical challenges encountered, and solutions adopted in the fields of Agricultural Risk Management and Crop Insurance.

In case you missed

Linking agricultural insurance and social protection - FAO

Rural populations in developing countries may be both heterogenous and diverse but they nonetheless share a number of commonalities such as their relation to agriculture as a core source of income and livelihood stability, the elevated poverty levels they face and their considerable exposure to a variety of different risks (e.g., economic, social, environmental and health-related risks), as well as their limited capacity to cope with these shocks.  The combination of these aspects makes rural populations extremely vulnerable to the effects of climate change and the associated increased risk exposure to natural hazards. In the frames of disaster risk management and the mitigation of vulnerability to climate change, social protection systems can play a fundamental role at a systemic level in bridging the gap between emergency, post-disaster measures, and longer-term development interventions that focus on rehabilitating rural populations’ livelihoods. Read more...

Guy Carpenter’s Climate Advisory and Modeling Services

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Canada in a Changing Climate 2021 report

As record-setting hot temperatures continue across Western Canada, a new federal report states that such extreme weather events are going to be much more common should the country not be prepared enough for the disastrous effects of climate change. The report led by Natural Resources Canada was released in June 2021. Extreme weather events, shifting rainfall patterns, higher temperatures and rising sea levels will “persist, and in many cases, will intensify over the coming decades,” the report reads. The climate effects would impact all sectors of Canada’s economy. While Canada’s agriculture sector is intrinsically adaptive, its ability to adapt is being challenged by the impacts of climate change, including a northward shift in the distribution of many insect and disease species and new invasive species. Changes in temperature and precipitation patterns will bring shifts in the distribution of crops. Access the report here...

Blockchain for climate action in agriculture

Climate change adaptation and mitigation (CCAM) entails many challenges. Addressing these challenges requires transformational changes for which innovative solutions should be investigated. Among innovative digital technologies, blockchain technology (BCT) has been considered to offer a unique opportunity to bring greater efficiency, transparency and traceability to the exchange of value and information in the agriculture sectors. The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and Wageningen University & Research (WUR) have published a study to provide insights into potentialities, steps and best practices in applying BCT to use cases in agriculture in the context of climate change, to explore the opportunities and challenges in applying the blockchain technology in agricultural sectors with the aims of reducing greenhouse gas emission, increasing carbon sequestration, as well as supporting farmers’ adaptation to climate change. Access the study here...

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